Quote from: philipma1957 on January 01, 2025, 05:15:48 AM

So On Jan 1 we are at

Quote

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   877280 (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   96.3782% (321 / 333.06 expected, 12.06 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   108522647629298.2
Current Difficulty:   109782075598905.2
Next Difficulty:   between 106232297455655 and 108717299668762
Next Difficulty Change:   between -3.2335% and -0.9699%
Previous Retarget:   last Sunday at 4:42 PM (+1.1605%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 12, 2025 at 8:24 PM (in 11d 20h 11m 25s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 13, 2025 at 5:19 AM (in 12d 5h 6m 58s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 42m 3s and 14d 12h 37m 35s

So 109.78t

My guess for Jan 1 2026 is

139.98t

but I would like to be wrong.

one of the problems is the s21xp is so much better than a s21 or a s19xp 270th 12-14 watts a th true beast

almost 2x the hash rate of the s19xp

270 at 3700 watts vs 141 at 3100 watts a big improvement for top of the line s19 series to s21 series.

If you go back to Jan 1 last year we were at 72th

I could see 144th if all gear running on jan1 2024 turned into s21xp by jan 1 2026

so 139-144t in a year.

for now lets see how we do.

While we speculate the difficulty of 2025 we are hoping that the best should be triggered.