Quote from: WatChe on June 21, 2025, 07:00:43 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on June 21, 2025, 03:13:27 PM

It would be nice to see a move like 2017.
Say 1000 to 19000

So for 2025
100,000 to 1,900,000

That would be nice.
Why not?

2017 or 2018 both are acceptable to me.
2018 from 15k to 3.5k.

2017 you already explained.

I have pretty high doubts that we will get within less than 25% of the 200-WMA in 2025, and right now the 200-WMA is nearly $49k and it is moving up by around $40-ish per day ($35 to $55 per day)... so by the time that BTC prices go down (if they did), the 200-WMA would continue to go up, which almost makes it possible to assert that sub $70k will never be reached again... or at least it is 50/50 bettable... and I would take that bet, if you are interested for 50/50.

Regarding 2026. Sure it is possible (but not a given) that the BTC price will touch upon or even go below the 200-WMA, yet it seems quite likely that we are going to be starting 2026 with a 200-WMA that is right around a minimum of $70k and we will be ending 2026 with likely a 200-WMA of right around $95k.. .. .. So sure right now it still seems quite possible that we coudl be visiting or revising sub $100k prices, unless we are lucky enough to experience some kinds of upcoming BTC price runs that can drag the 200-WMA to higher levels.

There's gotta be some potential bettables in there.

Quote from: philipma1957 on June 21, 2025, 10:33:50 PM

we dropped to 101.5 at the moment.
we were at 101.1 k for a while
I got some dip

I got some dips too.. at variety of places:

1) upper $106ks
2) right around $105k
3) at upper $102ks
4) at mid $101ks

I have not gotten the lower 100ks yet..

nor the lower $98ks, yet.

and then my buy orders are every $3k-ish after the lower $98k-ish one,.. which I am wondering how outrageous it might be to get any buy orders filling in the sub $100ks? I would rather not fill them, yet sure, it is possible that they could fill, and could even be close to 50/50 odds that some sub $100k buy orders could fill. Perhaps?