Quote from: psycodad on Today at 12:06:52 PM

Damit, I could really use a little leg up right now.

Reason being that I am only allowed to drive my 20yr old car for another 20 days now as it failed inspection and they demand that I replace a shock absorber. Would be fine with that, but Opel isn't producing/selling these shock absorbers any more. Couldn't get one in after market either, not even 2nd hand as it seems very special (somethingsomething sports-electronic-control bla). I liked that car a lot but it is what it is.

We used to have a world in which all kinds of repairs were part of the norm, yet in recent times, more and more products have become unrepairable.. Even if you end up getting another car, there may be something that you find out at some later point.. such as an ability to repair your shock absorbers.... yet I understand too that you also need to pass inspection...

And, sure, i might be fighting with the hypothetical too much, since maybe the point is about the need to potentially sell some corn due to a new expense related to car replacement.

Quote from: psycodad on Today at 12:06:52 PM

So I found a used Mercedes caravan that would really fit us well but I need to cash out some corn first and I have this tingling feeling in my guts that once I press the sell button price will shoot up to 140k in an instant. I have no problem shelling out a few sats for that but after stacking and hodling for about a decade I feel like a few days or weeks could really make a difference here. Money means nothing to me, though BTC does.

Talked this now over and over with the missus and we decided to just give a fuck for now - we will wait for a better price first (clearly over 130, ideally even more) - and if things go seriously south we don't care if we have to walk to the grocery store for a few weeks.

I mean who needs a friggin car, right? (oh wait, occasionally I really do)

If somebody would have told me two years ago that I will be too stingy to sell at 118k to buy a car, I would have laughed out loud at him.. Hodling really changes perspective, especially for those in FU mode. Cars come and go, but BTC that one sells never comes back..
</privileged whining>

You seem to be on the edge of having enough bitcoin but maybe not having more than enough bitcoin in such a way that it is obvious that you have more than enough bitcoin.

Of course, no one wants to suffer a 15% to 20% or more cut to their BTC.. or what they could have had gotten from a sale of BTC, yet in some sense there is not a real BIG difference between $118k and $140k.. yet it also may depend on how many BTC that you have.

For example, if you were to be right at fuck you status (let's say 15.769 BTC for an anticipated withdrawal rate of $6,666 per month), then you have no extra BTC for the extra expenses and you might not even feel psychologically comfortable to cash out at your $6,666 per month level. On the other hand, if you were to be more than 100% higher than your threshold fuck you status (let's say more than 32 BTC in this example), then you might not give too many shits about selling a few extra satoshis here and there in order to satisfy some of your expenses (even potentially some BIGGER item expenses from time to time)... so then there becomes a question about the quantity of the BTC cushion that you might have that may well motivate you in regards to how concerned you are about our current $118k BTC prices versus the possibility of $140k BTC prices within a short-term in the future, that may or may not end up happening... but yeah, I am with you that the odds for $140k within a few months is decently high, perhaps even getting into the arena of 60%, and some folks might even consider such odds for $140k and higher to be even greater than 60%.

Also maybe with potentially BIG ticket items, there may be preferences to have even greater than 100% cushions to be spending from our excess bitcoin holdings before we might start to not be so worried about such extra spendings... The threshold likely differs.. .. and if you were at 3x (such as 48 BTC in the hypothetical) your fuck you status threshold or 4x (64 BTC) or 5x (80 BTC).. at some point, you would likely become less concerned about shaving off some BTC, and the BIG ticket item would not really seem to be considered as a BIG ticket item.

Quote from: adultcrypto on Today at 12:14:30 PM

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on Today at 08:10:31 AM

Little dip to 115k last night, as soon as Powell opened his mouth. Weak hands will be weak hands. Recovery to 118k now, I’m starting to think 118k is the new 58k gang Cheesy

Surely, surely we start the next leg up soon?

121k-ish is the next point of call.... it will dwell there for a while but from September, the journey to Mars will begin.

I would not count on it. $121k is not materially different from $118k, so $121k is hardly even worth mentioning as if it were meaningfully different. from $118k.

Another thing. merely because we had past lingerings of the BTC price, and we are likely to get them in the future, it comes off as a bit presumptive to consider such "sideways at the top" to even be reasonable expectations, even if they might end up happening.

There have been quite a few folks that have been considering that it is more and more difficult for bitcoin to have blow off tops in the future, and so frequently blow off tops end up playing out only after decently long episodes of ongoing and more modest uppity that continues to happen and to happen and to happen, and then the next thing we know, we are in the midst of a blow off top.

This time is different. Sure. That is possible, yet I am still going to be careful in regards to having high convictions in regards to a belief of BTC price movements that presume periods of stability, especially within a seemingly top range (anywhere less than 10% from the top seems like the top range to this here cat.. and our current top is $123,236).

Quote from: Gachapin on Today at 03:05:40 PM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on Today at 01:42:31 AM

Quote from: Gachapin on July 30, 2025, 04:22:31 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on July 29, 2025, 06:50:54 PM

[edited out]

just a final thought on this...
The problem in the end is not the copy paste stuff itself. As you say, there is sometimes interesting info in it. But it's the intension that matters quite a bit.

The c/p posts are not coming out of interest in Bitcoin or in a discussion about it. It's that sterile try & error pattern to get merits which disgusts me.
Like for example, if your wife tells you that you are a great guy, it probably (hopefully) comes from the heart. It's something totally different when a car salesman tells you the exact same thing because he wants you to sell a car.

It's the intention and the person behind an action that defines that action and how we feel about it ...imo

Yes, and your wife is likely trying to deliver a different product as compared with the car salesman, meaning that they each have their place and purposes and even utility in this here "real world" of ours.

I see you got my point ! Wink

Such "products" of farmers have little to no benefit to the WO...

Even if I might kind of get your point, you and I still seem to be coming to differing conclusions regarding the extent to which merit sources might be sending smerits within a discretion that comes to differing conclusions regarding the extent to which some posts/posters are "deserving" of smerits or not..

We also may be coming to differing conclusions about the extent to which the existence of smerit, trust and/or signature campaign policies/practices overlap in the forum and regarding the extent to which smerit senders (especially merit source members) need to engage in due diligence in regards to their smerit sending.. since there aren't forum rules that restrict merit source members in the direction of how much due diligence they might need to perform or even how they should consider the merit worthiness of a post in regards to substantive value or some other objective and/or subjective bases for sending smerits to some posts versus not sending to other post - so long as the merit source members are not engaging in quid pro quo kinds of behaviors or otherwise breaking some obvious forum rules in the way that they are sending smerits or maybe engaging in some kinds of bad faith behaviors that might not exactly be written in the forum rules.

Surely individuals, even merit source members, have rights and abilities to send smerits for any reason or no reason at all, so long as such reason(s) is (are) not a kind of financial benefit reason, so it may well be out of place for other forum members to be harassing and attempting to impose smerit sending standards upon such source members through social pressures or whatever, including trying to impose smerit sending standards that do not exist in reality on the forum.

In that regard, I am going to continue to not concede any on the seemingly ongoing micromanaging attempts and judgement substitution attempts, especially when they fail/refuse to take into account a variety of other factors that any merit source member (including yours truly) might be dealing with including various personal constraints (such as time, energy, intellect, etc etc) and/or personal circumstances (what is happening in a person's life at any particular moment) that do not even need to be justified to the extent to which the source (in this case yours truly) doesn't end up falling within such merit selling practices or even the impression of engaging in merit selling practices...or some other breach of forum rules (written or unwritten) that may well be needed to be reported to the administrator if there were such allegation and/or knowledge of forum rule breaches taking place.

Yet, we likely already know you, nutildah and other merit whiners have no evidence (and/or reasonable argumentation for logic and/or reasonable conclusions) of any such forum rule breaches taking place, and merely attempts to try to socially manipulate and to impose smerit sending standards that don't exist, even if I might (were to) agree to certain smerit standards to be potentially applicable at some given point in time or in regards to some specific kind of a post, I am not agreeing to needing to make any changes to any of my smerit sending practices, or my level of due diligence (or lack of due diligence) or that I have any needs to feel regrets about any of my past smerit sending practices, even if from time to time and on some various case by case bases, I might have had ended up sending some smerits to some undeserving posts and/or to some undeserving members.. yet I have no need to defend any specific smerits that I sent or did not send in the past or any smerits that I may have considered sending or considered not sending. or even to admit that there might have had been some situations that I could have had done more due diligence in regards to a specific post or in regards to a specific forum member prior to sending them an smerit or considering to send them an smerit.