Quote from: Marvell1 on September 26, 2025, 02:41:50 PM

Quote from: dimonstration on September 26, 2025, 01:36:39 PM

Quote from: LayerzWallet on September 26, 2025, 01:26:18 PM

if we go down to 105k, its most likely an indicator of bigger investors vacuuming up longs before pushing for $150k - we hope this is the case as it would fit well into the 4 year cycle where Sept the following year of the halving is dead and October sees a big push.... (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - SIMPLY SPECULATION)

Those 4 years cycle was already broken. The current price movement is already doesn’t follow that cycle imho.

There’s a big difference on crypto regulation between now and the past, we already have institutional traders and governments that invest on Bitcoin that gives us assurance that the price will not collapse the way in the past.

There’s still chance for a dip below 90K but not way lower like the previous ATH at 60K+.

The cycle has changed since the bitcoin ETF was approved but it is not completely broken, and it is still too early to say it is broken. We need to wait at least until the year ends, and if bear season doesn't come, we can confirm that the old cycle is no longer accurate.

Cryptocurrency regulation and institutional involvement is the assurance to the market that it has become much safer. But in my opinion, that is not enough to guarantee that the market will not collapse the way in the past. It will all depend on what caused the bear season, and if it was a black swan, such as a recession. The market will collapse in the same way, even more severely than in the past.

Whoa i think i’m getting lost a bit so you’re saying the ETF kinda changed the cycle, but it’s not totally broken yet, right? so we still have to wait until the year ends to see if the old 4-year pattern still makes sense.
I mean i get that regulations and institutional investors make the market feel safer but i’m still kinda worried what if some random black swan hits like a recession? Could Bitcoin still dip hard even now?