Quote from: dooglus on June 23, 2014, 05:33:22 AM

That's because we had one huge whale and he kicked our asses...

We did better once he stopped playing, it's true.

I am trying to guess how much you make on big bets from gamers other than nakowa,

Convention always say that casinos need whales to make a good profit. But that's not always true in B&M. Sometimes very homely little casinos with very loyal customers make superb profits.

Quote from: dooglus on June 23, 2014, 05:33:22 AM

That's profit as a percentage of the amount wagered?

I will use Profit/Wagered (P/W). In the first year there were 22 days with P/W over 7%, and only 9 with P/W under 7%.

The big money gaming days are prevalent, but not dominant. The date: Fri, Oct 4, 13 is when 'mechs' lost his 7000 BTC. None of them obviously seem like days Nakowa was playing.

Yet those 22 days add up to 18,515 BTC profit, which is almost as high as the total profit of the year at 18,940 BTC.

Date	Profit/Wagered	Profit	Wagered
07/07/2013	18.73%	750	4,004
04/03/2014	16.65%	445	2,674
01/08/2014	12.99%	1,849	14,229
06/06/2014	12.92%	744	5,756
07/04/2013	12.42%	380	3,062
12/30/2013	9.57%	872	9,116
11/28/2013	9.50%	270	2,847
12/14/2013	9.34%	2,308	24,720
04/19/2014	9.15%	208	2,269
01/22/2014	9.10%	512	5,628
01/26/2014	8.80%	2,226	25,306
10/04/2013	8.79%	5,608	63,819
02/04/2014	8.11%	205	2,524
04/25/2014	8.08%	181	2,239
09/08/2013	8.08%	416	5,151
12/28/2013	8.06%	240	2,975
12/08/2013	7.91%	405	5,121
12/22/2013	7.69%	224	2,915
03/18/2014	7.45%	108	1,446
07/09/2013	7.31%	259	3,538
05/17/2014	7.18%	234	3,266
06/23/2013	7.03%	71	1,003

06/22/2013	-7.31%	-58	796
01/23/2014	-7.38%	-415	5,628
12/26/2013	-7.77%	-174	2,242
08/24/2013	-8.73%	-224	2,563
12/06/2013	-8.90%	-295	3,310
12/15/2013	-10.43%	-299	2,871
01/12/2014	-11.71%	-197	1,685
01/14/2014	-12.32%	-194	1,571
12/29/2013	-12.60%	-339	2,691

Your 11 days with profit over 1000 BTC add up to 23,600 BTC.

Date	Profit/Wagered	Profit	Wagered
10/04/13	8.79%	5,608	63,819
09/25/13	1.70%	3,006	176,993
10/11/13	2.70%	2,722	100,678
12/14/13	9.34%	2,308	24,720
01/26/14	8.80%	2,226	25,306
01/08/14	12.99%	1,849	14,229
09/27/13	4.29%	1,418	33,064
07/24/13	5.31%	1,284	24,167
07/20/13	5.56%	1,092	19,642
09/26/13	3.81%	1,078	28,255
02/14/14	4.06%	1,048	25,835

01/25/14	-6.58%	-1,023	15,531
10/03/13	-3.00%	-1,419	47,313
09/29/13	-0.15%	-2,264	1,553,358
09/22/13	-5.59%	-2,345	41,941
07/13/13	-2.90%	-2,485	85,587
09/21/13	-1.82%	-2,566	140,897
09/23/13	-1.20%	-4,607	384,966

Some sort of moving average might be helpful. You've had that below .40% up for over 6 months, and it is always influenced by events last fall. You may want to indicate P/W for the last 30 days.

Date	P/W 30 day moving average
4/30/14	1.864%
5/1/14	2.024%
5/2/14	2.125%
5/3/14	1.629%
5/4/14	1.660%
5/5/14	1.747%
5/6/14	1.706%
5/7/14	1.472%
5/8/14	1.700%
5/9/14	1.774%
5/10/14	1.832%
5/11/14	1.840%
5/12/14	1.938%
5/13/14	1.882%
5/14/14	2.066%
5/15/14	1.767%
5/16/14	2.109%
5/17/14	2.485%
5/18/14	2.454%
5/19/14	1.995%
5/20/14	1.847%
5/21/14	1.885%
5/22/14	1.755%
5/23/14	1.652%
5/24/14	1.705%
5/25/14	1.676%
5/26/14	1.670%
5/27/14	1.620%
5/28/14	1.531%
5/29/14	1.657%
5/30/14	1.549%
5/31/14	1.427%
6/1/14	1.433%
6/2/14	1.420%
6/3/14	1.480%
6/4/14	1.509%
6/5/14	1.506%
6/6/14	2.560%
6/7/14	2.608%
6/8/14	2.654%
6/9/14	2.639%
6/10/14	2.555%
6/11/14	2.664%
6/12/14	2.479%
6/13/14	2.628%
6/14/14	2.557%
6/15/14	2.482%
6/16/14	2.275%
6/17/14	2.130%
6/18/14	2.220%
6/19/14	2.601%