Quote from: AnonyMint on September 02, 2014, 11:46:57 AM

Quote from: wachtwoord on September 02, 2014, 11:28:31 AM

Quote from: AnonyMint on September 01, 2014, 07:11:56 PM

Long-term (up to 3 years or more), I place 1% probability on $1 million, 10% probability on $100,000, 20% probability on $50,000, and 80% probability on $10,000.

Those add up to 111% Tongue

They are not mutually exclusively. Each lower amount is achieved on the way to the higher one.

I just pulled numbers out of my arse, but the essence of my opinion is:

1. $million is a very remote fantasy. (as far as I know, adoption rates are no where near that trajectory)
2. $100,000 is very unlikely but not impossible.
3. $50,000 is somewhat unlikely but less fantastical.
4. $10,000 is somewhat likely, but not assured.
5. $3000 is very likely and nearly assured.
6. $0.10, $1, $100, and $1000 have already been achieved.

Ah, you're numbers were: "these will someday be passed numbers?" I thought we were talking long term value.