Quote from: kano on April 24, 2012, 06:22:47 AM

Quote from: Ente on April 24, 2012, 05:52:18 AM

Quote from: ChanceCoats123 on April 24, 2012, 02:29:08 AM

Just my fucking luck... Angry

My dedicated miner runs for 10 days straight without issue, and on the day that p2pool finds a billion blocks, I come back to a rig that won't give video. Restart and everything is fine and dandy again. WTF is that?!?! It's like every 10-12 days this shit happens and on the day p2pool has good luck, my share count is 1/6 what it typically is. Angry

..let me know a few hours before your rig goes down, next time, ok? I would like a "warning, blockfinding-spree ahead!" warning system! ;-)

It all evens out after some time.

Ente

Actually ... no it doesn't.
If you lose out in a good luck spree there is no guarantee whatsoever that you will get it back later.
There is no memory in bitcoin hashing.

There is no memory in bitcoin hashing.

Exactly!
That is exactly why it evens out after some time.
If you roll dice, and have a particulary unlucky streak with four "1" in a row, that is bad luck. And happens quite rarely too. But as you go on, after some time, you will eventually hit four "6" in a row. Then it will have evened out. Sure, you will have dozens of "three 1" and "three 6" in between, maybe even another "four 1" too. But if you roll long enough, and the dice *really* dont remember anything (i.e. not broken or manipulated), you will eventually have an average of exactly 3. It may take a few hundreds or many thousands of rolls, depending on how many decimals you want to converge to "3".

Anyway, I think we are talking about the same here ;-)

(And to me it is not entirely sure yet that the *whole* p2pool setup is working entirely as expected and calculated. There seem to be an additional, constant small-% loss in the way.. observing the "luck.png" graphs..)

Ente