Quote from: dooglus on November 03, 2014, 07:59:07 PM

Quote from: Catman Dude on November 03, 2014, 11:44:55 AM

That is why his luck % of 104.23 after 7,292 rolls is so high.

Do we know how PD calculates the luck statistic?

I just made a new account ('dooglus2') and played 24 times at 3x (33%), noting wins, losses, and luck:

Quote

wins losses luck
0 0 NaN
   1 0
1 202.94
   2 101.47 *
   3 67.65
   4 50.73
   5 40.59
   6 33.82
   7 28.99
   8 25.37
   9 22.55
   10 20.29
2 40.59
3 60.88
4 81.18
5 101.47 *
   11 92.24
   12 84.56
6 101.47 *
7 118.38
   13 109.27
   14 101.47 *
   15 94.7
8 108.23
   16 101.47 *

I can't immediately come up with the formula they're using.

When I had won 1 and lost 1, my luck was 202.94%. I had bet twice at 33%, so my expected number of wins was 0.66 and my actual number of wins was 1. How do I get 202.94% from that?

Note that my #wins was exactly double my #losses 5 times (not counting the starting 0,0 case) and each time it was, my luck was 101.47%.

Edit: this fits pretty well:

(0.6697 / 0.33) * (wins / losses)

I don't know why 0.6697 though, when my chance of losing is 0.67

Edit2: I think this tells us that hufflepuff played at least some rolls at a different multiplier. Because winning 2865 times and losing 4427 times at 3x would give a luck of around 131.33%, but his luck was "only" 104.23% at that point.

If that bettor was real than we know at least that primedice doesnt rig anything=P