Back then it was a lot easier to predict the price movement of altcoins based on Bitcoins, but right now its like the wild west. Previously, when Bitcoins go up, the altcoins all go down and vice versa. Right now, even if Bitcoins are moving up some altcoins are also moving up along with bitcoins. And in fact, since they are pegged in Bitcoins, if they move up the USD price of these altcoins go up exponentially. Just pretty much very hard to make a prediction nowadays.