Search content
Sort by

Showing 16 of 16 results by piwpafer
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: IEM katowice csgo bets and analis // ESEA, ESL, Flashpoint and much more
by
piwpafer
on 17/05/2020, 10:40:50 UTC
Home Sweet Home Cup / 16 May 2020 - 16:50
Team Secret vs SMASH
Team Secret @ 2.2

For me, currently Team Secret is exactly the same level and comparable to Smash players. Don't understand these odds. Although they lost to Avez I think it was a tough rival. Today 50/50. Not the worst rallen game lately, but sinnopsyy keeps the level from match to match. Smash has won the game with Skade, but it's because of fejtZ and bubble - the rest is definitely standing still. 2.2 on betfair is worth it for me today.



Game hit, thanks
have any twitter/discord to keep track picks ??
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 15/05/2020, 09:42:01 UTC
Depends alot on the game, but teamwork counts alot for integrity of results and likelihood the team is practising together, etc.   I got alot more faith in an underdog bet when I believe that team has underlying potential to keep improving and surprising in their results, alot of that revolves around the team spirit being healthy.   The biggest mistake people make is counting results evenly when some games wont have the effort spent on them over others, some enemy teams or the map choice allows an easier result.
There are a lot of analysis that we need to know in order to win in Esports betting. Before you place a bet you need to know who's underdog and who's have upper hand. I often bet in dota 2 and I have high win rate because I always identifying the strength and the weaknesses of the team before I bet my money.  
for instance?
share these tools because apart from hltv, I don't see anything worth using...

In what game do you mean by that word 'often'?
Not specifically a certain game, but in general.
Quote
I don't know about the other games but I'm pretty sure that in Dota 2 and CSGO the percentage of fixed match is small especially if its big tournament or atleast minor tier.
How are you sure? Do you have any proof and would like to show it or tell about it?

Quote
I still think that fixed match cases in esports are way less than sports, based on two games that i mentioned before.
eSports still seem much easier to fix. In a real match where players are sweating and beating each other up, primal emotions become more obvious, impulsiveness and anger often fuel a player to forget his promise to the bookie to lose the match and may end up doing something rash which may lead to a win. Chances that the big whale who paid the team to take part in fixing ends up going South.

Thats what I have felt in game, but play acting is also possible so you may have a point worth discussing too.

Not necessarily. Imagine the equipment and artificial AI that detects that a player doesn't play 100% of his or her abilities, but just plays worse and makes mistakes that are unusual? You think this is not possible?


Thanks for that, I needed it.

I still think that fixed match cases in esports are way less than sports, based on two games that I mentioned before.

We don't know what is happening behind that curtain.

All we know is that these professional players do their best to take home this prize money. In Dota 2, there are a lot of players getting banned because of this, and they really regret they did it. For me, it is not that less but a lot of things proved that fixing is not a thing anymore. In the past, we can only see the games being played, right now we can see how players evolve and rage in a tournament showing their regrets when they commit mistakes.

Dota is a game better to be avoided - 50 % russian cheaters
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 27/03/2020, 12:02:04 UTC
Sometimes you can follow ex-professional eSports player on their stream/any other media since they often bet on eSports and usually are right more often than regular users.

This is a good idea of the question only if you know such if so give me instagram profiles of them . It's hard for me to imagine - unless you mean coaches? But they don't share arcane knowledge, but rather they only make a buzz around their own team. After all, they do not care that the rival knows exactly their tactics, compositions, etc. I think it's hard to find someone who ended his career as a player and then regularly lived the stage by keeping a profile on Twitter. I think such a person has much more interesting things to do.
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 27/03/2020, 07:46:26 UTC
Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

It is very easy to win a parlay in League of Legends betting.
Usually, the favorites are taking the wins but this doesn't provide good odds to the gamblers. You can make decent profits only if you gamble big portions of money to a win of a team.
Usually, the favorites are taking the wins

What a nonsense.
Post
Topic
Board Off-Topic (Deutsch)
Re: Haben Sie irgendwie auf E-Sport gewettet?
by
piwpafer
on 25/03/2020, 10:08:24 UTC
Sieht aus, als hätte Covid19 gewonnen.
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 22/03/2020, 12:27:45 UTC
Hint 1
Only play big tournaments and matches in leagues with a pot of over $100,000. Every lesser known tournament is a risk of fixed matches (many case like russian dota) and so you lose.

Hint 2
Choose one game, only the one you feel better in. You need to know the game very well and be on the go.  Unfortunately, it takes a long time. The better you know the game, the better you can predict the results.

Hint 3
Analyze the statistics of the teams you bet on. Concentrate on the analysis of players with form. Compare the team leaders and the weakest links.

Hint 4
Choose games that are popular because the teams have a lot of fans and where the odds can only be based on that. Analyze whether the odds really reflect form or whether they are a trend that is not based on a team's real chances of winning.
 
Post
Topic
Board Off-Topic (Deutsch)
Haben Sie irgendwie auf E-Sport gewettet?
by
piwpafer
on 20/03/2020, 08:07:32 UTC
Ich selbst bin ein Fan von LOL und seltsamerweise spiele ich in der EU gerne dasselbe Spiel in DOTA2.

In unserem Land ist Fornite auch beliebt, aber in letzter Zeit auch immer mehr COD. Spielen Sie auch? Wetten Sie? Was denken Sie über die Zukunft dieses e-Sports?
Oder vielleicht ist es nur eine Laune der Jugend?
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Three of your favorite bookie/betting info sites?
by
piwpafer
on 20/03/2020, 08:00:42 UTC
Oddsportal has a big offer and many bookmakers but their odds are refreshing much too slowly.
Its pretty quick for me. Are you talking about in-play odds? I have no idea regarding live odds if that's what you are talking about. I usually use Oddsportal primarily for pre-match betting.

Do you have any solid arguments that  I am wrong?
What the heck are you going on about? Research does help to an extent in sports betting which is why it is easier to earn money from sports betting when compared to gambling in a casino. If the bookie always won, they would be cheating basically. Minority of the punters do win(Some win big amounts) which is why your statements make no sense.

Of course it's easier to win in bets than in a casino - I don't deny it. I agree.

But what I don't understand is that the bookmaker always wins? Cheating? WTF. The bookmaker does business. BUSINESS is to win.

The bookmaker is the only business that practically always wins. And I'm not talking about not paying out winnings. It's pure mathematics because to win, you have to lose. 10 players will play on 1 (home win) and the other 10 players will play on 2 (away win)  and the third player will play on a X (draw). The odds are set with a margin of 10 - 20 %, which means that anyway, how much a player wouldn't gain, he will lose the majority.  So, assuming equal opportunities, the odds will be this:
1: 2.9 (and not 3)
X: 2.9 (and not 3)
2: 2.9 (and not 3)

So anyway, the bookmaker always wins in relation to PLAYERS. You still don't understand or are you just pretending?  How do you have such a rank? Are you cheating on others ? Or maybe teach you how to multiply? I suppose so.

Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: TIPS FOR NEWBIE GAMBLERS !
by
piwpafer
on 13/02/2020, 18:31:09 UTC
Bookmaking for most of the types is a form of entertainment, an addition to the sporting passion. It can be a source of adrenaline and excitement, especially because betting is usually connected with winning or losing your favourite team. Many players bet small amounts and this is usually due to the fear of losing money. A conservative game is a good thing, but you've certainly wanted to bet more than once, hoping to win a large sum of money yourself. Such a desire is fuelled by various press reports in the style of "He bet little at the bookmaker, won a million".
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 11/02/2020, 11:20:18 UTC

In these cases you can definitely turn a profit if you know the game and the teams inside out.

Exactly! , That's the main and simplest trick in making profit out of betting either ESports or Sportsbetting.
I guess analyzing the game in ESports is a lot more complicated (example Dota2) than sports like basketball, football, and etc. Because you need to look at the team chemistry, the hero picks, possible scenario and outcome.
I don't know what else to consider in analyzing a match in Dota2 since I haven't played the game for 5 years now, but what I really think, is its more challenging to place a bet specially if both teams are very good.

Okay, but there's the random factor you're talking about again. If it's a lot to choose the hero himself, you don't know how the draft will go. You don't know what composition the team will play or if it will be good. You're only gonna choose good picks or not. Later on you can play live but it's not the same because the odds are much lower. So what if there are many factors if we can't use them anyway because they are just random and depend on many things.
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 10/02/2020, 21:40:56 UTC
I just don't understand why some people can say that esports betting aren't worth it since it looks like all the games and matches are all 50/50. These words can only came to those that do not follow an esport game.
These people have to make posts and they do it even when they have no knowledge about e-sports.

Let me tell you something about e-sports and why it is the future of gambling probably. There are players who we love and follow for example being a big CS:GO fan I love to follow guys like s1mple and Dupreeh who are for me the best players in CS:GO and therefore if we have knowledge about these players and we know which roster they are working with, it makes much easier to pick winners.

Moreover as we also play these games, it gives an amazing feeling because we can think of ourself what we would do in such situations, the clutches by our favorite players and the epic moments which unfortunately don't exist in real life sports betting.


You're right, but just a little bit. You're talking about players that we seem to know who's working with whom and how. Who else is he supposed to play with? What do you compare it with? After all, we know that a given player always plays with a given player if there are no transfers, so basically nothing changes.

And you can't predict a drop in form or a bad day. There is little room for chance in escort. That's a fact. But it's not like traditional e-sport.

Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: LEC, league of legends betting and predictions
by
piwpafer
on 10/02/2020, 21:17:54 UTC
You're not right. I offer payment and withdrawal by crypto. You know you have to be careful, but let's not get too paranoid. Caution is always advisable
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 10/02/2020, 19:00:27 UTC
I just don't understand why some people can say that esports betting aren't worth it since it looks like all the games and matches are all 50/50. These words can only came to those that do not follow an esport game.

For me, there is no difference between esports betting and sports betting when it comes to chances of winning. Betting odds aren't just made in order to fail. Esports betting is a growing market.
Well, at least in my experience, match fixing is still said to be an issue with e-Sports. TO be honest, there is a disproportionate amount of matches for how low the stakes can be and how small some teams are. It might seem too intriguing to some new players that their team is now playing on matches that can be bet on, and there have been report sof players fixing their own matches to bet on them... This is easier to be done in esports than other events. Especially so since the rewards for a tournament can be at the level of a per-match salary for real-world sports. In such cases fixing your match might even be more profitable. Also easier to hide since it's a virtual environment.
We can't do anything about match-fixing because it is what it is for them to bracket the esports team, I think that is unfortunate for some teams to fight a recent champion on the tournament within their brackets. As a better, it would be a safe decision if you bet on the highest probability team that would win a certain game but sometimes upset happens and some underdogs win unexpectedly. Like TNC who did the biggest upset on Dota history as defeating the biggest team on the tournament.

Miracles happen, do they?

Saying that nothing can be done with fixed matches is funny.

There are possibilities that anything can be done. Also, suppose that well in x years' time, every esports gamer can be observed 24 hours a day with a chip, etc., with your own consent.

Unreal Huh But it would be possible ?
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Tricks and tips for esports betting
by
piwpafer
on 09/02/2020, 21:21:33 UTC
I'll ask such a banal question (yes, is there already a rule in this forum)

Do you know how to make money by betting Esports? Do you have any good ways (in your opinions) to make money? Or maybe only intuition , current form, players' morale?

For me, there are no tricks in esports betting (if you are considering the 100% win rate) there will be only tips. In sports betting, you should analysis the teams very well especially the teams that you are betting, like what is good about the team A conferred to team B, the strength and weakness of each side, and also the odds. I usually bet in esports and in my experience if the game is not that serious or crucial try to bet on the high odds or underdogs because the profitable rate is much higher compared to the other team and also, I’m always lucky when I do that kind strategy, but I make sure that I review the units. In that case, you will profit well if you get lucky and if the game is serious/ semi-finals- finals make sure to bet on the time that you trusted the most because that moment each team is doing their best to win.  Smiley




Do you have any specific stalls to choose the mismatched matches you write about? Maybe some programs? How do you estimate such matches? Because I don't think it's based on the results alone ??

Today with the use of sports betting many people wants to include the esports and one of the growing betting site is with the use of esports commonly with the use with the games like the defense of the ancients 2, league of legends, Fortnite and many more. Esports betting is one of the best matches today and also there are a lot of websites that support the team analysis it shows the stats of the team win rate, player analysis and records and by the data we can gather is we can use to find out which team will win the game.

It's not that much. https://www.gosugamers.net/ with statistics? Okay, but they're not the highest flyers. What am I missing? Analyses and esports forecasts - ok there is https://esporttalk.org/ with betting tips and prediction but it's also a little bit short while; cool types and interesting information but it's not like in the world of football and other normal disciplines. Maybe it just takes time for something like https://www.flashscore.com/ or something like a transfermarkt to come into being. I don't really know if the betting and betting on esport at all can be similar to the current one. Maybe it's made on strength and you won't be able to make money from it at all. Oh, and let's not forget one thing. The black side of the medal. After all, here the risk of unfair matches is only high. What do you think?

And where's no risk? You play it, you accept the risk. Generally, it's better not to play and after the problem. Unfortunately

ESports is a very wide-ranging issue, and if you want to bet on it then you should choose a game that you fully understand, I have some tips for you and this tip is the core part of what you need to know before you place your bets, when it comes to betting, you should always know what's better and what's the advantage, in eSports you'll never know who's going to win, MOBA games are one kind of game.


I do agree with that. Better bet on the game that you know of, not only familiar but by heart you know that specific game. Your chance of winning is even higher if you know both teams competing. Because if you are only familiar with specific esports game, you don't know the weaknesses and strengths of the teams involved, which will be your blind spot. So yes, the very simple trick in this game is to know what you are getting into.

Well, that's the rule for everything you're betting on. That's the principle to basically everything you do in your life. Either you know each other or you pretend to know each other and you don't have any of it.
Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Pomp 100,000$ Prediction
by
piwpafer
on 09/02/2020, 21:13:52 UTC
As the market price of bitcoin climb to a 10,000$ mark, Anthony Pompliano predicts that the bitcoin market price could touch $100,000 by the end of December 2021.

Tweet:
“Bitcoin just hit $10,000. I still think that Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of December 2021.

Fixed supply. Increasing demand. Time will tell.“

edited:
https://i.postimg.cc/WzBhLz3p/aawdawdawd.png


Bitcoin is becoming more popular in the past months, bitcoin hitting the 10000$ is a big comeback to the community and investors. Also to this upcoming bitcoin halving, this could easily be a big factor that could give a big impact on the market price of bitcoin in the coming months or years.



No really
Data from the Coinbase exchange show that BTC/USD rose to $10,000 overnight. Behind the price jump was a sharp increase in volume. The cryptovaluta quickly returned to the level of 9,975 USD, but is now priced again at exactly 10,105 USD, which translates into a 3.5 percent increase in 24 hours. It is worth adding that the breakthrough of the psychological level of USD 10,000 previously took place on the bitcoin futures markets. There, such a price appeared already on 6 February. It is not possible to answer this question clearly. Let us remember that already in May there will be a halving, i.e. a division of the prize for digging a new block in the BTC network. Moreover, there are many important macroeconomic and geopolitical issues in the background. We have panic caused by the coronavirus, tensions in the Middle East that could end in war, the unclear outcome of the future US presidential election and finally brexit, which has become a body. The cryptovalots have so far fed on people's concerns. Is it the same now? Look at the altcoins...

Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: LEC, league of legends betting and predictions
by
piwpafer
on 09/02/2020, 21:07:39 UTC
I chose two matches and two strong favourites

G2 Esports vs. Rogue Esports Club


Cr?me de la cr?me. At the very end of the day we have a match between the European hegemon G2 Esports and the revelation of recent months, the Rogue Esports Club. A fight of young blood on the old explorers One thing is certain - there will be too much emotion. An absolute must-have position.

My bet: G2 Esports

G2 esports are very good in a crucial game and when they got the momentum they can't dominate their opponent in the tournament. Caps can literally carry them to win their bracket, the Rogues Esports Club's roster is new to me and I can't predict their plays but I already watched their past games against G2 Esports in LEC Summer 2019 and they are dominated I think that they're having a hard time competing against the runner up in Season 9. This time I think that G2 Esports will still have this one, because RGE's play isn't enough to become a champion in this tournament.





I chose two matches and two strong favourites

Fnatic vs. Excel Esports


After Oskar "Selfmade" Boderk's successful performance in the second week of LEC, Polish fans have been raising hopes for him. Fnatic's Forester is facing an easy challenge in theory, but the charges of the British organization managed to prove that the staff revolution was not in vain and in 2020 they cannot be seen as the proverbial "boys to beat". Joey "YoungBuck" Steltenpool, who at the end of last year turned Fnatic into Excel, will have much to prove.
 
My bet: Fnatic

In this match up, I believe that Fnatic got this but we can't predict this time because in League of Legends, if you make a certain mistake then it is the end for you team. That was what happened in the SKT in season 7, they are choked because Samsung Galaxy really get the momentum. This time, I see that Fnatic is fired up against the Excel Esports because they are the runner up in season 8 and they want to have some vengeance against any other team. But we can't say, it still depends on the shot caller of each of the team.


And we know the results.

And frankly, I thought with G2 it might lose
Fnatic is weaker than a year ago. Do you agree?