I still disagree, the reason why Bitcoin is haram because people think that as high risk investment, not about the usage. It's also not backed by gold or fiat, which is another reason.
 

People are going to use Bitcoin for investment more than they will as currency.

That’s a solid and thoughtful way to approach planning—especially with something as volatile as Bitcoin. When building a sensitivity model, you want each scenario to be **plausible**, **distinct**, and **illustrative** of potential futures, not just averages. Here's a range that many in the crypto community might consider *reasonably bounded* for a 10-year outlook, based on historical behavior, macro trends, and risk tolerance:

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### 🚦 **Suggested Range of Bitcoin Annualized Returns Over 10 Years**

| Case | Scenario Description          | Expected Annual Return (r) | Notes                                                                                                                           |
| ---- | ----------------------------- | -------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 1    | **Catastrophic**              | **-15%**                   | Regulatory kill shot, protocol failure, better tech displaces BTC, major loss of faith. Capital flight.                         |
| 2    | **Bearish / Stagnation**      | **0%**                     | BTC survives but underperforms inflation; stagnant price action. No new narratives.                                             |
| 3    | **Moderate / Base Case**      | **7–10%**                  | Conservative growth. BTC tracks with growing adoption as store of value or digital gold. Matches or slightly outpaces S\&P 500. |
| 4    | **Bullish**                   | **20–25%**                 | Institutional adoption, favorable macro, increased scarcity narrative. Moderate network growth.                                 |
| 5    | **Moon / God Came to Dinner** | **40–60%**                 | Massive global adoption, BTC becomes reserve asset, extreme capital inflow from fiat. Decade-long bull cycle.                   |

---

### 💬 Why These Ranges?

* **Historical Precedent**: BTC has averaged \~60–200% CAGR in past cycles, but this *cannot* be linearly extended.
* **Market Maturation**: As BTC grows, it will likely experience **diminishing returns**—harder to double from \$1T to \$2T than \$100B to \$200B.
* **Macro Factors**: Rate policy, inflation, geopolitical crises, regulation, etc. affect returns.
* **Survivorship Bias**: Many investors forget that there is still non-zero risk of BTC going to zero (tech risk < legal/political risk).
* **Diversification & Hedging**: Negative and 0% return cases remind you to not over-leverage on upside only.

---

### 🛠 Modeling Tip:

If your sensitivity model is probabilistic (Monte Carlo, for example), you could assign rough probabilities to each case (e.g., Case 1: 10%, Case 2: 20%, etc.), or simply use them as **scenario bounds** for better clarity in planning.

---

Would you like me to help build a simple table, Excel sheet, or Python simulation for this?

AI has revolutionized trading, it's like replacing an antiquated map with a GPS that operates on autopilot. Traders used to rely on charts, intuition, and late nights driven by caffeine.  AI can now quickly examine vast amounts of market data to find opportunities that humans would never be able to.  It recognizes trends, instantly modifies its own tactics, and even monitors market sentiment by analyzing tweets and news items more quickly than you can reload your feed. This AI has been one of the unique feature of a major CEX, BingX and just developed a new landing page for the tool. Tested it to analyze the Bitcoin trend and looked for a re-entry.  AI has improved trading's intelligence, accuracy, and competitiveness in addition to speeding it up. The markets feel more like fast-paced chess at 200 mph than a peaceful game of poker when everyone is equipped with algorithms.

Part of the reason that many of us should want to ongoingly invest into bitcoin for a whole cycle or more  is to help ourselves to get over our concerns about current price, and surely if we are assessing 4-8 years down the road, we likely are going to appreciate that we made a lot of our buys in the past and even if some of our past purchases were at high prices, the passage of time is continuing to contribute towards higher and higher BTC prices and likely more and more difficult to buy bitcoin at similar prices as it had been bought 4-8 year or longer into the past.

When I first got into bitcoin in late 2013, my first purchase was around $1,200 which was a high oint in the market.  So it took right around 3.5 years (in March 2017) before that purchase became consistently profitable and the BTC price discontinued dropping below that level.  Of course, now people really woudl like to get $1,200 bitcoin, and even in late 2018 and into 2019 and 2020, there were some folks still fantasizing about being able to buy bitcoin in the $1,200 region. and there were several folks who were confident that the BTC price had to get back to test that $1,200 level, yet in the several bitcoin price dips in 2018, 2019 and 2020, the lowest it ever got was $3,124, and even the time in March 2020 when BTC prices dipped down to $3,800, there were many folks who thought that $3,800 was a real fluke.. which probably was true since the BTC price largely went shooting up from March 2020 and the biggest dip that we got after March 2020 got us down to $15,479 in November 2022.. and guys would even really love to get some bitcoin for $15,479, and yeah so that 1st purchase of bitcoin at $1,200 in late 2013, is looking like a great bargain right now, and it is not even like folks who started out investing into bitcoin at a $1,200 top in late 2013 would not continue to buy bitcoin in 2014, 2015, and 2016... which resulted in a lot of purchases that were quite a bit below the initial $1,200 purchase..

Totally bat ye ha KY soft fork har cheez ko accept krta ha Blockchain me or hard fork new version ko manta ha Jo KY new nodes per mabni hoty ha.
I hope KY apko Meri samj a Gai ho gi.

Yahi toh main problem ha like Imran Khan Aya toh ramiz raja ko laya phir Shahbaz sharif ny apni Pasand ka najam sethi laya  usky baad bilawal ny Apna koi Banda laya jiska name yaad nahi usky baad jab army ka scene Aya toh unho ny Mohsin Naqvi ko Laga toh bandy confident nahi ha Kon team Mai hoga Kya scene chaly ga Kuch pata nahi

Aur jaisy chairman badly Gai Sath Mai coach ko bhi change kardiya, aur iska direct effect howa pakistan overall team par. Sath Mai Jo main batter ta Jo Kisi bhi situation Mai runs bana kar daita ta woh Thora out of form Kya Howa inho ny ussy Kahi ka na choora. Ab koi doora player ha nahi Jo uski responsibility ko poore kary aur ab kumyaza pore team bugat Rahe ha aur usky back bhi nahi kar Rahe ky woh comeback karly.

I get what you’re saying, but I have to point this out, I don’t understand the part you talking about currency, if it is Bitcoin then Bitcoin is not just any currency…

Putting it in the same box as a random currency or tokens is exactly how people miss the bigger picture. With Bitcoin, you’re not just holding for a price pump, you’re holding an asset that had proven itself over and over again..

As you said, it is like trying to swim without a life jacket, basically we put on a life jacket before we get into the water. But if we use this in the case of investing, it will not be right at all. If we wait to build an emergency fund before investing, it will not be the right approach at all. You can build an emergency fund along with investing. This will keep your investments running and your emergency fund will be built. For example, you can build an emergency fund with 50% of the amount you are willing to invest and invest with 50%. In this way, you will not miss out on buying opportunities and you will be much ahead of your portfolio goals. It will be good to build an emergency fund along with investing.

Bitcoin's scarcity isn't just a digital artifact; it's a marvel of social consensus engineering. https://www.talkimg.com/images/2025/08/11/USzie1.jpeg
Even scarcer technologies may emerge in the future, but their value will be challenging to replicate.

It is known that in some U.S. states as well as in some other countries, the higher your income, the higher your taxes, while in others, the lower your income, the lower your taxes. The simple question I would like to ask you is this: which would you choose, to accept a job with high income in a where the cost of living is high and you pay high taxes, or go for a low paying job in a state where the cost of living is low and the taxes are low? After all, taxes never end.

Wesy kabhi kabhi herangi bhi hoti hai. Yani IMF ki mukhalifat ky bawajud El Salvador apny kam kiye jaa rahy hen. Or ye ek barri behtreen development huwi hai. Jo ky El Salvador ny ki hai yani ye ek new era my dakhil kar raha hai Bitcoin ko. Or agar ahista ahista baqi countries bhi involve hoti hen to ye bohat best ho jaye ga.
Baqi Bitcoin ki adoption mazeed barhti hi jaa rahi hai. Or Bitcoin ny pichly 15 saalon my apna sikka manwaya hai. US kaya yani bohat si countries ny iss par charcha ki hai. Even hmara Pakistan bhi uss list my shamil hai.

This is very good news and knowledge great work for @HustleZ.
Mei Nye tou yeh pehlye kebi sunah hei nei Thai AP Nye muje beta ker mery knowledge mei Azafa Kiya hai. Es bandy ney joi prediction kei hai mei kehta hou bohat hei interested or hila denye weli bataen kei hai. Is bandy ney joi itni salo kei prediction kei hai kiay AP voi expect prediction kai kuch saboot dei seskty hai. Mtlb exect nayi kuch usky circle mei hoi.[/list]