the same way it did in the 1st round - ZERO effect.

Do you mean that no threat could bring back bitcoin at 60k mark? It appears so, but that's not certain, despite the strong involvement of government offices in Bitcoin, would they be able to withhold Bitcoin in a bear season to stay around 85k upwards? The next halving is in less than 3 three years, and the long red candle is yet to come for buyers to purchase more bitcoin. Unless it pumps higher that 100k is the bench mark for the bearish moves, but with $10k added to the 100k and the $105k price it's not strong enough to hold on to a serious shake on the market. Like a crypto exchange rugpull.

Yes, you got it all completely wrong. These are not polls. The opinions of people who don't put their money on the table are worthless, but the opinions of people who are responsible for their thoughts with money are interesting. I heard that the polymarket is on average more accurate than the opinions of "experts", voting results, etc. However, I cannot provide an exact link to this information. But I believe this 100% because I once worked in auctions and in practice I understood that the opinions of people without money/outside the market are worth nothing.

What’s happening right now doesn’t really affect Bitcoin. I’ve seen a few threads saying the current war between Iran and Israel, plus US intervention, could cause the market to collapse. And yeah, it kinda looked like it was going that way when Bitcoin dropped below $100k.

But look what happened -- it bounced back and is now trading at $105k. That just proves there’s nothing to worry about. Bitcoin can stand through tough times, and in fact, it’s something you can actually trust with your investment.

Polymarket seems to be getting some attention lately. I’ve been seeing it mentioned a lot, so I think it’s becoming a bit more popular now.

Just for awareness and for all of us to compare, especially for gamblers who have knowledge (either through experience or research), can you share the difference between the two [platforms]? And which one do you personally prefer? Would be good to hear different opinions on this.

I was saying this to a couple of guys who hold Bitcoin last night. These bureaucrats and massive financial institutions have somewhat captured Bitcoin, to a degree.

I live in the UK as many of you know. I believe it is the same in the EU but fairly recently exchanges are enforcing The Travel Rule on us.

For those unfamiliar see here - https://support.kraken.com/articles/updates-to-crypto-transfer-procedures-for-uk-clients

TLDR; When you deposit to the exchange in any size over €1,000 they want to know where the Bitcoin came from. Was it from a cold wallet or another exchange or even from somebody else. You better hope it’s not from somebody else or they’re going to ask you a tonne of questions.

Any way, my personal story was I sold a handful of Bitcoin the first time we went over $90,000. The second sale was for 3 Bitcoin. I got an email saying I needed to confirm where the funds came from. I told them a cold wallet and then I received a support ticket saying Kraken were looking into this and will get back to me before my funds are released.

Sorry what, you are holding MY funds hostage? Any way, about 2 hours later they released the Bitcoin so I could sell. You can get a Bitcoin address whitelisted so they don’t do this again but address reuse is not good for privacy. If I use a new sending address this will happen again. It all turned out fine but my behaviour will definitely change now when I sell more late this year. I will deposit in smaller amounts, what if they had my deposit on hold for days? It would give me huge anxiety.

Earlier in the year Kraken and Coinbase made me fill in a big questionnaire about my financial status or my account would be limited. They can’t believe you are retired if you are under 40.

I just wanted to reinforce what Husristic said, Bitcoin has been somewhat captured. Trade P2P where possible and keep your Bitcoin in cold storage. These bastards are trying to make our beautiful Bitcoin as centralised as possible.

I miss the days before these cunt institutions got into this scene.

I will keep this short and simple--and this post is to open our trading understanding a little.

As the title reads, oh yes, it's true, but they still lose. They are busy chasing a better strategy that can only exist in their imaginations, thereby losing focus, and then style drifting.

Those simple strategies you undermine are enough for you if you work on yourself. I was shocked when I realised someone bought a trading strategy for $3,700...oh my God! And guess what, it failed him, what a waste!

A good trading strategy is important, but what traders need to succeed is not an absolute strategy that gives 100% winning or close. A 60% winning strategy is okay if you can work on your trading psychology and money/risk management. As simple as the two are, they've reshaped my trading results for good.

Reshuffle that mindset and see the result in months.

Do you believe in that?

Based on the article I read, because of the growing popularity of crypto casinos, regulations will likely become stricter, and these are the kinds of changes we might start seeing soon, if they haven’t been implemented already.



your thoughts on this..

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source
https://www.offshoresportsbooks.com/crypto-gambling-regulation/

Hi everyone! I'm still new here and trying to improve my post quality. I’ve read a lot about the merit system and understand it's important for ranking up, but I’m not sure what exactly makes a post “merit-worthy.” Is it about length, research, or timing? I’d love to know what type of content usually earns merit and what mistakes I should avoid as a beginner. Any tips or advice would be appreciated!

We all know you can never get time back, and when you’re losing in gambling and not even enjoying it, that’s time wasted too. Double the stress means a bad day, and sometimes it carries over, because there are always consequences when you’re addicted to gambling.

If you’re someone who values your time, you really need to be careful when taking risks in gambling. Always stay responsible to avoid this from happening. Instead of using that time to improve yourself, you get carried away and end up wasting it all on something that doesn’t even give you anything back.

1) Don't blindly trust signals, take your time to access and verify it.

CZ proposed this I think two weeks ago, but my advise to people is that they should not hold any coins on an exchange except the money they are actively using to trade.

The best place to hold your coins are on cold noncustodial wallet that are open source.

People should learn about multisig, timelock and other inheritance means.

Fact is that if you've never paid attention to how much you spend on your minor wants, chances are high that you can never make proper budgeting for your gambling.

Sometimes, the amount we spend on things that don't add anything to us is always more than the amount we spend on gambling and for gambling expenses, it's even better because there's a chance that you might win and get a return from what you've put into it but for the regular expenses, once it's gone it's gone for good and it's easy to spend so much on small items without even knowing that a lot is already going into such as long as you're not taking record of such expenses.

If you want to practice proper gambling budgeting and see that it works effectively, you first have to start from personal budgeting and then you can easily implement it in your gambling.

What's your take on this?

Experts treat gambling as a source of income, so they bet on themselves because they’re confident in what they’re doing and believe they can be profitable. These are the ones who raise a realistic bankroll and set realistic targets. let's say on average, if their funds grow by 10% in a month, they’re already happy because over time, it compounds.

Meaning, they don’t cash out their profits right away, they reinvest it as additional bankroll.

Now I’d like to ask you.. as a gambler, would you already be happy earning just 10% profit from your total bankroll?

Many are saying the top is in for Bitcoin but that can’t be it surely? I’ve seen predictions ranging from $160-200k this year, are we still thinking that? Or is 2025 really the start of a long bear market ..